Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000933 0.001072 0.001212 0.001364 0.001524 0.001686 0.001863
2025-07-27 0.000757 0.000957 0.001168 0.001403 0.001657 0.001920 0.002212
2025-08-03 0.000586 0.000826 0.001089 0.001391 0.001724 0.002077 0.002474
2025-08-10 0.000408 0.000666 0.000961 0.001313 0.001711 0.002139 0.002629
2025-08-17 0.000290 0.000559 0.000883 0.001282 0.001742 0.002244 0.002826
2025-08-24 0.000175 0.000435 0.000772 0.001202 0.001710 0.002276 0.002937
2025-08-31 0.000111 0.000366 0.000720 0.001187 0.001749 0.002382 0.003128
2025-09-07 0.000072 0.000324 0.000697 0.001203 0.001821 0.002523 0.003357
2025-09-14 0.000031 0.000260 0.000639 0.001169 0.001831 0.002590 0.003500
2025-09-21 0.000014 0.000232 0.000626 0.001192 0.001907 0.002732 0.003726
2025-09-28 0.000007 0.000224 0.000641 0.001249 0.002022 0.002920 0.004002
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000188 0.000609 0.001243 0.002060 0.003015 0.004172
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000125 0.000535 0.001192 0.002060 0.003088 0.004346
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000101 0.000524 0.001228 0.002171 0.003297 0.004680
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000066 0.000481 0.001216 0.002222 0.003434 0.004931
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000025 0.000401 0.001143 0.002189 0.003468 0.005063
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000006 0.000354 0.001113 0.002210 0.003567 0.005269
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000283 0.001038 0.002168 0.003585 0.005377
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000252 0.001024 0.002205 0.003700 0.005599
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000239 0.001039 0.002281 0.003862 0.005876
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000203 0.001007 0.002290 0.003940 0.006052
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000195 0.001029 0.002373 0.004109 0.006336
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000203 0.001082 0.002502 0.004335 0.006687